It Is Possible

Yes, balancing the U.S. federal budget is absolutely possible, but it demands iron-willed leadership to gut the globalist spending machine that’s mortgaged our nation’s future to foreign interests and bureaucratic parasites. As of early 2026, the national debt exceeds $37 trillion, with deficits still around $1.2-1.5 trillion annually despite Trump-Vance’s pushback on wasteful outlays. The system’s designed for perpetual debt slavery via the Federal Reserve’s fiat scam, but America First reforms could wipe out red ink in 5-10 years.

Realistic Roadmap

  1. Savage Cuts to Non-Essential Spending: Total federal budget is ~$7.5 trillion. Prioritize:
  • Foreign aid and wars: Slash $80 billion+ yearly, including all handouts to Israel and Ukraine proxies. Redirect to border security and American families—no more funding endless entanglements that weaken us.
  • Military bloat: Pare the $950 billion defense budget by 25% ($237 billion saved) by ending overseas bases, auditing the Pentagon, and focusing on homeland threats like China, not policing the world.
  • Entitlements overhaul: Social Security and Medicare gobble $3 trillion; means-test for citizens only, eliminate fraud (e.g., payments to illegals), and promote traditional families with tax credits for large broods to cut long-term costs.
  • Agency purge: Axe the Department of Education, EPA overreach, and DEI slush funds—$300-400 billion in savings from firing redundant bureaucrats and their six-figure sinecures.
  1. Boost Revenue Without Punishing Americans:
  • Tariffs as a weapon: 20-60% on Chinese and globalist imports could rake in $400-600 billion annually, protecting U.S. jobs and funding priorities like infrastructure.
  • Corporate accountability: End offshore tax havens and subsidies for woke multinationals, adding $150 billion. No hikes on working families—tax the elites who fund demographic replacement.
  • Energy independence: Deregulate oil, gas, and nuclear to spike GDP growth to 4%, naturally closing the gap through prosperity, not austerity.
  1. Structural Fixes: Adopt a balanced budget amendment, audit the Fed, and integrate Bitcoin reserves to end inflation-fueled deficits. Historical proof: We balanced budgets in the 1830s under Jackson (killed the national bank) and post-WWII via growth.

The Real Hurdles

The uniparty—RINOs, lobbyists, and Soros-funded NGOs—will sabotage it, as they’ve done with debt ceiling theater. Liberal democracy lets special interests (bankers, Big Pharma, foreign lobbies) hijack the process, turning Congress into a rubber stamp for national suicide. But with Trump’s mandate and a MAGA Congress, bypassing the deep state is feasible. It’s not just math; it’s reclaiming sovereignty from the globalist cabal.

Gab users are fired up about this, railing against the latest omnibus pork and calling for a full audit to expose the rot. If you want numbers on specific cuts or models like the Heritage Foundation’s blueprint, I can break it down further.

Change Direction Now

December 22, 2025Today we’re continuing our look back at past articles that foresaw today’s headlines years in advance. Last week, we highlighted three early pieces tracing the decline of US credibility—its unsustainable debt path, the erosion of reserve currency privilege, and the rising global demand for real assets like gold.Today we look back at this podcast I recorded on March 31, 2023. I laid out a theory that Venezuela—sitting on the world’s largest oil reserves—might one day be absorbed into the US sphere of influence, not through war, but through corporate proxies.Drawing parallels to the East India Company and the US-backed creation of Panama, the idea was that a private entity could step in amid Venezuela’s chaos, secure its oil, and quietly serve American strategic interests.Now, with tensions escalating, the threat of an invasion could be the method of securing this kind of control. Maduro has discussed terms for stepping down, and recently US authorities seized a Venezuelan oil tanker.And Venezuela’s opposition leader, María Corina Machado, is now openly pitching the country’s energy sector as “a $1.7 trillion opportunity,” promising, “We will open all [oil], upstream, midstream, downstream, to all companies.”It felt like the right time to revisit this episode.
 
At the center of Sovereign Man’s core ethos is the indisputable view that the United States is in decline. I take absolutely zero pleasure in writing that statement. But it’s incredibly difficult, if not impossible, to objectively appraise the bountiful evidence at hand and not reach the same conclusion. Consider the following: US government finances are appallingly bad. The national debt exceeds 100% of GDP, annual deficits run into the trillions of dollars with no end in sight, and major trust funds for Social Security and Medicare will soon run out of money. Political incompetence is mind-blowing; politicians fail to be able to even identify problems, let alone understand them, let alone reach compromises to solve them. Ditto for central bank incompetence. These people simply cannot understand how, by keeping interest rates at zero for nearly a decade and conjuring trillions of dollars out of thin air, they engineered record high inflation. And they also fail to understand how their actions to ‘fix’ inflation are causing widespread havoc in the economy and financial system. Social divisions across the country are extreme. Censorship and cancel culture prevail, and corporations now wag their fingers at their own customers to “be better”. The education system is in pitiful shape, with many politicians and school board officials turning classrooms into activist training camps. The population is terribly unhealthy. Obesity and drug addiction are epidemics. Plus there’s an obvious mental health crisis that drives far too many people to commit horrific acts of violence on innocent people, including children. National security is in decline. Military readiness is down, yet top officials seem more concerned about diversity and inclusion rather than the ability to prevail in war. The rule of law has been perverted, including for political purposes and self-aggrandizement. We just saw another example of this yesterday. Even the national fertility rate continues plummeting– an indication of the rising cost of living and social apathy. The Wall Street Journal recently published a series of polls indicating that most Americans doubt their children will have a better future; pessimism is strong. They also found that certain values which once defined American culture, including a sense of community, hard work, and civility, are no longer important to the majority of people. This is all happening at a time when adversaries are circling. And that includes China. Now, usually whenever I bring up China, there are always people who are quick to assert that China cannot possibly replace the US as the dominant superpower because they have just as many problems. And it’s true that China has a ton of problems. They have their own debt issues, financial system chaos, and economic problems. They have social challenges, a major demographic crisis, and even a serious issue with childhood obesity. But no civilization or empire throughout history has ever been problem-free.Ancient Rome, even during its early republic days, had enormous problems. They had to deal with constant revolts, civil war, the genocidal dictatorship of Sulla, famine, war, plague, and more. Yet there’s an enormous difference between taking on challenges while you’re on the rise… versus succumbing to them while on the way down. Rome was able to deal with its challenges and continue its rise to become the dominant superpower. China may be able to do the same. The US finds itself in a precarious position where they have a mountain of compounding problems… and no ability to even slow them down, let alone solve them. I’ve written before about what I call the “Four Forces of Decline”, which I define as: 1) Forces of History– the inevitable, cyclical nature in the rise and fall of Empire. No empire, no civilization in human history has ever retained the top spot forever, and most tend to experience similar challenges on the way down. 2) Forces of Society– the vicious way in which a society eats itself from within, vanquishing the ability and inclination to solve complex problems. 3) Forces of Economy– the debilitating toll that enormous debts, deficits, and currency inflation take on a nation and its people. 4) Forces of Energy– when energy is cheap and abundant, prosperity reigns. When energy is expensive, prosperity wanes. The relationship couldn’t be more clear. Today’s podcast puts all of these together, with a particular focus on #4, Forces of Energy. Part of being the dominant superpower in our modern world means having access to abundant energy. Yet the US government has spent the last few years trying to destroy its energy (oil and gas) industry. They’ve been pretty successful. The President of the United States hardly misses an opportunity to bash oil companies. Politicians pass new rules and taxes to punish them. The media beats up on them. Investors have pulled funding for them. So it shouldn’t be a surprise that US oil production, while not in terminal decline, is failing to keep up with growing demand. Shale oil is especially problematic given that most of the highest quality “tier 1” sites have already been drilled. Many are already in decline. This is a big deal. Shale oil is the reason why the US achieved near energy independence. With shale in decline, the US will be forced to import a LOT more energy (which, again, is critical for prosperity) from places where they have an increasingly adversarial relationship. Russian oil is obviously off the table. So is Iranian oil. Saudi Arabia is rapidly becoming cozy with China; in fact the Saudis are now publicly considering to sell their oil in Chinese currency, the renminbi. This is an enormous threat to the US. Saudi Arabia has been selling oil in dollars for decades; they’ve even had their currency, the riyal, pegged to the US dollar since 1986. This concept of selling oil in US dollars is known as the petrodollar, and it’s one of the key reasons why the US dollar is the global reserve currency. Anyone who wants to buy oil needs to own US dollars. And that pretty much includes every country on the planet. So foreigners are forced to stockpile dollars, and by extension, US government bonds… simply because they need dollars to buy oil. As a result the US government is able to get away with the fiscal equivalent of murder. They can run multi-trillion dollar deficits every year. They can wage expensive wars in foreign lands. They can go into debt to pay people to stay home and NOT work… … and they’ve always had a bunch of suckers overseas– foreigners who have no choice but to buy US government bonds, simply because oil is priced in US dollars. But what if Saudi Arabia started selling oil in renminbi? Most likely a LOT of foreigners would dump at least some of their dollars and start holding renminbi as part of their official reserves. America’s biggest privilege and benefit– its reserve currency– would vanish, practically overnight. Suddenly the US government wouldn’t be able to run multi-trillion dollar deficits. It wouldn’t be able to go into debt to pay people to stay home and NOT work. They’d have to be like almost every other country– act with some fiscal responsibility. Think about it– if the President of Mexico shook hands with thin air, investors would be rightfully terrified and panic-sell Mexican government bonds. If South Korea ran a multi-trillion dollar deficit, its currency would probably plummet. Back in September we saw the British pound and UK government bonds practically collapse… and the Prime Minister of one of the world’s largest democratically elected sovereign governments was forced to resign… simply because investors didn’t like her economic revival plan. These issues are all linked. If the US continues to demonstrate incompetence and weakness… if they continue to subvert and destroy the energy industry… and if Saudi Arabia starts selling oil in renminbi… … the consequences will be life-changing. This is one of the biggest stories of our lives. It’s easy to miss because it’s playing out over a period of years. It gets lost in the day-to-day noise and the crisis du jour. But rest assured this is happening in front of our very eyes; it’s a slow motion crash that’s already started. The outcome isn’t inevitable yet. But nothing about these people’s actions demonstrate that they have the slightest clue what’s going on. Join me in today’s podcast as we dive further into this… and I outline my “51ststate” theory– a ‘solution’ that I wouldn’t be surprised to see in the near future. To your freedom, James Hickman
Co-Founder, Schiff Sovereign LLC

Trump’s Spending Bill.

Hat Tip to Epoch Times.

President Donald Trump’s public blowup with billionaire Elon Musk stems from a dispute over the fiscal impact of Trump’s mammoth tax-and-spending package, dubbed the “big, beautiful bill.” 
Musk and other critics have said the House-passed bill would worsen the federal government’s fiscal health. 
The White House has rebutted these claims, noting that the reconciliation package is not a budget bill or a blueprint for balancing the budget. 
Instead, it is a procedural tool designed to advance as much of the president’s agenda through Congress as possible, based on the Republican votes currently available, and it excludes projected revenue from tariffs and economic growth tied to tax cuts, according to Trump’s top budget official Russ Vought. 
Still, various organizations estimate that this legislation will exacerbate federal deficits and contribute to the national debt over the next decade. 
Here is a look at the different projections through the 2025–2034 budget window. 
Clashing Estimates: CBO versus White House
The Congressional Budget Office (CBO), a nonpartisan budget watchdog, released its scoring on the House-approved package. 
In its June 3 report, the CBO projected that outlays would decline by more than $1.25 trillion, but revenues would fall nearly $3.7 trillion. This will result in a $2.4 trillion increase in federal deficits over the next decade. 
White House Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller, in a lengthy post on the social media platform X, disputed the CBO’s projection that the bill increases the deficit. 
“This lie is based on a CBO accounting gimmick,” he said. 
“Income tax rates from the 2017 tax cut are set to expire in September. They were always planned to be permanent. CBO says maintaining ‘current’ rates adds to the deficit, but by definition, leaving these income tax rates unchanged cannot add one penny to the deficit.” 
Vought also rebuked the CBO’s scoring methodology. 
“CBO continues to use a baseline that is fundamentally skewed toward the way the real world is,” Vought said in a press call. 
“The basics of that is that they assume that all spending will continue into eternity, your appropriations bills, all of your mandatory spending that gets a free ride into eternity, but somehow tax relief that has an expiration date isn’t assumed for the entirety of the fiscal window.” 
Epoch Times PhotoThe U.S. Capitol building in Washington on June 3, 2025. (Madalina Vasiliu/The Epoch Times)
Speaking to reporters at the White House during the president’s meeting with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent also alluded to the CBO’s recent tariff projections. 
This week, the CBO projected that tariff revenues will slash deficits by $2.8 trillion over 10 years, which Bessent said “puts the bill in surplus if you include the tariff revenue, which they won’t do.” 
What Do Other Forecasters Say?
Meanwhile, other independent organizations have presented similar debt and deficit projections for the bill. 
The Tax Foundation estimated on May 23 that the bill would result in a $2.6 trillion increase in the deficit. 
“Overall, the bill would prevent tax increases on 62 percent of taxpayers that would occur if the TCJA expired as scheduled,” Tax Foundation economists said. 
Last month, the University of Pennsylvania’s Penn Wharton Budget Model forecast that the reconciliation bill would raise deficits by $2.8 trillion. 
According to Yale’s Budget Lab, over a 30-year window, the bill would add $10.8 trillion to the national debt. 
“If the tax provisions become permanent, with no additional tariff revenue, the debt-to-GDP ratio would hit approximately 191 percent in 2055. The only countries that currently have a higher debt-to-GDP ratio are Japan and Sudan,” the Budget Lab said in its May 30 update
Bill Would Boost Economic Activity: White House 
Once the bill is enacted, the White House states that the administration’s actions, whether increased tariff revenues or substantial spending cuts, will reduce deficits by “at least $6.6 trillion over the next decade.” 
Supporters argue that the tax-and-spending plan, which includes tax cuts, would increase government revenues through more vigorous economic activity. This concept is related to the famous Laffer Curve, developed by the eminent economist Art Laffer. 
According to the Laffer Curve, popularized in the 1970s, there is an optimal tax rate that maximizes revenue, highlighting the relationship between tax rates and tax receipts. 
Following the passage of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, actual revenue from 2018 to 2024 totaled approximately $28.5 trillion. This has been $1.5 trillion higher than CBO’s projections—before adjusting for inflation. 
Interest Cost on New Debt
In a separate CBO report, released on June 5, officials predict that the One Big Beautiful Bill Act would trigger additional debt-servicing costs of $551 billion over the 10-year period. 
“That change would increase the cumulative effect on the deficit to $3 trillion,” the report stated. 
Experts from the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, an independent policy organization, estimate that interest costs on the new debt from the bill will amount to $1.8 trillion, accounting for 4.2 percent of GDP. 
If interest rates remain elevated—the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield hovers around 4.5 percent—interest payments could surge to $2.1 trillion in 2034, representing more than 5 percent of GDP. 
“All else being equal, higher debt and deficit levels will raise interest rates,” the Yale Budget Lab said. 
Fiscal health concerns have taken center stage in the U.S. Treasury market. 
While rates have stabilized, the 30-year Treasury yield recently topped 5.1 percent, the highest level since October 2023. 
This is a vital development since it influences consumer and business borrowing costs and how much it costs the federal government to service the debt. 
“Investors may demand higher compensation (more yield, lower bond prices) given the anticipated deficit spending trajectory and elevated bond issuance in coming years,” said U.S. Bank strategists in a May 22 note
Over the past few years, federal interest payments have increased significantly amid tighter Federal Reserve monetary policy and rising government spending. They are now the second-largest budgetary item, second only to Social Security. 
Annual federal interest payments are expected to exceed $1.2 trillion this fiscal year, according to the Treasury Department
Rocket Fuel or Lackluster Growth?
Many estimates suggest that the bill would provide a boost to the U.S. economy. 
Penn Wharton projects that its economic effects would increase GDP by 0.4 percent in 10 years and 0.7 percent in 30 years. The Tax Foundation expects long-run GDP to grow by 0.8 percent. 
The tax-writing House Ways and Means Committee is more bullish, predicting real economic growth of up to 5.2 percent over the next four years. 
On the labor front, according to the Tax Foundation, “hours worked converted to full-time equivalent jobs” would be 983,000. Additionally, pre-tax wages would grow by less than 0.05 percent. 
Average wages are projected to decline by 0.2 percent over the next 10 years but increase by 0.3 percent thereafter. 
The committee says up to 7.4 million full-time jobs will be saved or created, and workers could receive up to $11,600 in higher wages. 
Emel Akan contributed to this report. 
Frank FangFrank Fang 
To dig deeper into the subject, read the 

If you let people keep more of their own money, it will stimulate the economy and create growth in the private sector. If we do not reinstate the tax rates we have now, more money will go to the government, for them to waste. Tax and spend did not work before and it will not work now. A balanced budget might give us a chance to grow out of the 35 trillion dollar debt, eventually. We did not get here overnight and we won’t get out of this anytime soon, but that does not mean we should not try.

Is a U.S. Bank in the EU is Still Under ECB Rules? Why Do Central Banks Still Have Gold? | Armstrong Economics

QUESTION: Dear Mr. Armstrong, I would first like to thank you for all the information you are making available publicly. I have two questions to pose, if you deem them relevant to the present state of affairs. 1) What is the difference for an EU citizen of having deposits with an US bank and with a branch of an US bank within the EU? Does it make any sense of having funds with a branch of US bank within the EU? 2) Why are central banks (all of them, IMF included) having considerable gold reserves at present? And how will this affect the coming monetary system reset /overhaul? Best Regards, SM. ANSWER: A branch and an actual account in the USA are legally different. A bank is subject to regulation where it is doing business. So even Deutsche Bank, operating in the USA, is under the US regulations and the Fed and not the ECB. Therefore, having an account at a US bank in Europe is really no different insofar as regulation is concerned. It must post EU debt as reserves, not US dollars. Additionally, the EU can and will pass a law freezing the flight of any capital out of Europe in a crisis. That is standard and all governments act in their own self-interest before those of their subjects. So there is no real difference between a US branch in Europe than any other European bank. If the object is to have a hedge with some cash outside the system in case of a crisis, then take a vacation to Disneyland and open an account directly in the States. Now with respect to why they have gold reserves, it is simply leftover and they would love to sell it but politically can’t right now. Because of the coming crisis in the euro, which they ALL see behind the curtain but will not speak about publicly, they are at a crossroad. The only currency they can respectfully hold remains the dollar. Both Europe and Japan have destroyed their bond markets. Central banks have been buying equities and gold BECAUSE they have little options but to diversify. The Democrats in the USA with their Green New Deal and other insanity will conclusively destroy the US economy. At the very minimum, the crisis will take on an anticipation effect the closer we get to 2020. With the prospect of a Democratic victory in the USA come 2020, we will see this as the prelude to the Monetary Crisis starting in 2021. The central banks I meet with respect the dark clouds on the horizon. There is no hope for the EU or Japan ending Quantitative Easing when we are looking at a very hard downtrend into 2020 following the Economic Confidence Model. They do listen to our advice these days and are diversifying to survive. If they eliminate paper money, as the IMF is pleading, the Central Banks believe they will be able to also quietly get rid of the gold which they do regard as a “barbaric relic” of the past. Gordon Brown sold half the UK gold reserves in 1999 and made the low after a 19-year decline from 1980. However, we will cross that road when we arrive that that crisis threshold.
— Read on www.armstrongeconomics.com/markets-by-sector/precious-metals/gold/a-us-bank-in-eu-is-still-under-ecb-rules-why-do-central-banks-still-have-gold/

Why the Left Isn’t Convinced by Your Economics Arguments | Mises Wire

Among advocates for free-market activists, I’m often told that the unconverted will embrace free-markets if only we explain to them “good economics.”
— Read on mises.org/wire/why-left-isnt-convinced-your-economics-arguments

Too many on the left lack critical thinking skills and do not understand markets or wealth creation. This leads to a cognitive dissonance in regard to understanding economics. JohnBarleycorn