The Changing Wind in Politics by Generation | Armstrong Economics

There is a major shift underway in the public sentiment that is underscoring why our computer has been forecasting the collapse in Marxist/Socialism. The message of the Democrats has been the same since the Great Depression – vote for us and we will rob those who have more and give it to you. When we just look at the fact and put aside the political biases, the chart shows a very striking trend. When we combine both the Senate and the House and then plot the number of seats each party held as a percent of the whole combination, we see that the Democrats peaked with FDR. They have won at times ever since, but the percentage of seats held has been gradually declining. Now an online survey of more than 16,000 registered voters ages 18 to 34 has revealed that support for Democrats over Republicans in Congress has continued to decline among the youth. It has fallen another 9% since the 2016 election to just 46%. The responses say that the Republican Party is a better steward of the economy. This should come as no surprise. The entire Marxist agenda resonated with the Great Depression generation as the Marxists blamed corporations and never mentioned the Global Sovereign Debt Crisis of 1931. The younger generations are simply viewing the world differently as to what they can do themselves rather than what government can do for them. They simply want to keep more of what they work for. The Marxist message of the Democrats is gradually fading out. Equal Justice for All means it should apply fairly to everyone, not just some.
— Read on www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/politics/the-changing-wind-in-politics-by-generation/

Marxism to be Challenged on the High-Seas by Robot Ships? | Armstrong Economics

A new technology is underway in the construction of the first robot cargo ship. This will be the first unmanned cargo ship to set sail. It is being constructed by Rolls-Royce. There is a catch. The international laws on shipping were set in place because of unions. As is, international shipping law states that ocean-going vessels must be “properly” crewed. What is the definition of that “properly crewed” will be something for the courts to decide. If a robot can construct a car, does that mean it is not a proper car? Therefore, fully autonomous, unmanned ships may currently not be allowed in international waters under the present interpretation, but that is definitely something subject to challenge in a legal proceeding. As such, the Yara Birkeland, its official name, will operate close to the Norweigan coast at all times for now between three ports in the south of the country. If that goes well, then look for this to become a new challenge to the interpretation of old Marxist union laws.
— Read on www.armstrongeconomics.com/markets-by-sector/technology/marxism-to-be-challenged-on-the-high-seas-by-robot-ships/

The First Representative Form of Money | Armstrong Economics

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I was discussing the history of money with a professor at our university where they have a display of coins. I asked why were there no Egyptian coins. He referred me to your site and said that you are the expert in the world monetary system. I read your piece on the Egyptian deben monetary system. The Egyptians began with a representative money rather than coins. Is this the oldest civilization with pyramids and paper money? JY ANSWER: From a monetary perspective, the Egyptian monetary system is by far the first representative form of money. In other words, they used a derivative of paper money proving that money also need not be tangible as has been the case in modern times. The central element of any monetary system hinges upon whatever the people “believe” has value. In Egypt, gold was seen as the tears of god and was reserved EXCLUSIVELY for royalty. Gold did not serve as any sort of medium of exchange until about 700 BC. Why? For anything to serve as the medium of exchange it must exist in sufficient quantity. As long as gold was rare, it was exclusively the property of kings and represented a luxury with no PRACTICAL value whatsoever. Egypt’s monetary system began with barter. It was primarily based on agriculture – grain. This evolved into official Graineries and a farmer would then take his crop to the Grainery and receive a receipt. With time, the monetary system evolved where people would then accept these receipts (paper money) in payment. The huge difference between Egypt and Mesopotamia can be seen through the monetary system. The earliest use of metal appears to be in Mesopotamia cast in the form of silver rings. In ancient Egypt, silver was probably more expensive than gold which was rather common after the exploitation of the Numbian mines. Evidence supporting this idea comes from a New Kingdom Period wall painting depicting a man weighing big gold rings which were discovered in Thebes. This is the Deben Monetary System. Eventually, gold rings became customary to carry out trade with the outside world. So we tend to find the beginning of a two-tier monetary system using grain receipts for local small transactions and gold rings for international payments of a higher monetary value. We see this type of two-tier monetary system throughout the ancient world right into modern times. Ancient Athenian Decadrachms are traditionally discovered around the Mediterranean seaport rather than in Greece reflecting they were high denominations used in international trade. Bretton Woods used gold dor international payments and paper money for domestic US transactions when gold was illegal for citizens to possess. The two-tier monetary system lasted in modern times up until August 1971. To make trade between Phoenicia and Mesopotamia easier they created a system that could have been based on the traditional Egyptian measurement known as deben that was equal to about 86 grams, which would exchange for 12 shekels used by Babylon and Phoenicia of about 7.2 grams per unit. Pictured here is a dishekel of the Phoenician city of Tyre, which is believed to be the earliest known coin circa 450-425BC. The date of the first Phoenician coins is uncertain. The earliest date generally accepted by scholars is about 450 BC and initially, the coins were all silver with weights based on variations of the Babylonian shekel of 7.2 grams. The most interesting aspect is that Phoenicia possessed no precious metal mines. The source of their silver came from trade with distant mines in Spain and possibly Sardinia. The motif is that of a dolphin riding the waves and the reverse with the wisdom of the owl. Now, just to address your comment that Egypt has the oldest pyramids, that is an incorrect statement. Caral has the distinction of being the oldest known city in the Americas and one of the oldest in the world. In fact, the Caral Pyramids were built approximately 5,000 years ago and they are actually OLDER than the Egyptian pyramids by around 100 years. They predate the Inca Pyramids by some 4000 years. Like other pyramids in history, the Caral pyramids are believed to have religious significance. There are six total pyramids. The Norte Chico civilization flourished between the 4th and 2nd centuries BC. It appears to have been simply a barter civilization, yet there are many mysteries yet to be solved. For instance, there remain some very curious questions unanswered such as why are there no surviving evidence of ceramics? They appear to have used gourds instead of ceramics. Gourds may be good for storage and drinking or eating, but would not function as pots for cooking. There appears to also be missing any evidence of agriculture so it is possible they never eat bread. We do know that they used blue whale vertebrae as stools suggesting that they lived off the sea. It is entirely possible that they eat fish raw like the Japanese. On some of the gourds, figures have been discovered which may represent a deity. Very few have survived but they may represent some form of a god reflecting a religious belief system that appears to be common to all civilizations. There is also no sign of significant surviving art perhaps because they were made from organic material, which did not survive.
— Read on www.armstrongeconomics.com/history/ancient-economies/the-first-representative-form-of-money/

Bernie Proposed Everyone Gets a Job & Free Healthcare | Armstrong Economics

You really have to wonder just when will these people stop with the promises of robbing the rich to hand out free everything to everyone else. Bernie Sanders wants to introduce a plan to guarantee everyone a job at $15 an hour. He is clueless that if you raise wages, people spend more and prices rise and will NOT remain the same. You end up back where you started. To begin with, not everyone wants a job. There are plenty of people who have no problem living off of welfare. But he also wants to guarantee healthcare to everyone. That may be a wonderful idea, but you MUST first nationalize all hospitals and then doctors must become government employees. You have to lower the wages of doctors and you have to eliminate the lawsuits or specify how much you will be paid for what injury. Without a comprehensive structural reform, all these proposals are absolutely worthless and would bankrupt the entire system as is. We simply have to let it burn down to the ground and start from scratch. Healthcare and education will ONLY become affordable when people cannot get insurance and to stay in business, prices will have to drop.
— Read on www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/politics/bernie-proposed-every-gets-a-job-free-healthcare/

When we are already 20 trillion in debt, how does Bernie propose to pay for that? Print money and or raise taxes?

Russia’s Wheat Crop Fails? | Armstrong Economics

The weather turned very cold this year as our computer has been forecasting. The importance of our model’s forecasts lies in determining what will be the next cycle focus. Each cycle tends to shift from one to the next sector. While we still risk a strong dollar rally into 2020 creating the economic recession through deflation as assets decline, the next 8.6-year cycle appears to be setting up to be a commodity cycle. As the climate changes to bitter cold, we have warned this is when FAMINE and DISEASE rise. The flu season is always when it turns cold – not warm. It is important to keep an eye on the climate cycle and prepare for the next real bull market. This year, the wheat crop in Russia has failed because of the bitter cold with even April coming in as the coldest in more than 140 years. The people who want to believe in global warming are so enamored with this idea mixing up pollution with climate change that they fail to see the trend coming. As crops fail with colder winters, food supplies will decline and prices will rise. So look for the next 8.6-year Economic Confidence Model Wave to bring higher prices in food.
— Read on www.armstrongeconomics.com/markets-by-sector/agriculture/russias-wheat-crop-fails/