Foreign Affairs Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Gregory F. Treverton | How to Predict State Failure | Foreign Affairs Posted on December 20, 2014 by johnbarleycorn12 Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Gregory F. Treverton | How to Predict State Failure | Foreign Affairs. Share this: Share on X (Opens in new window) X Share on Facebook (Opens in new window) Facebook Like Loading...