Foreign Affairs Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Gregory F. Treverton | How to Predict State Failure | Foreign Affairs Posted on December 18, 2014 by johnbarleycorn12 Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Gregory F. Treverton | How to Predict State Failure | Foreign Affairs. Share this: Click to share on X (Opens in new window) X Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window) Facebook Like Loading...